Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2143.330136 2328.530053 2516.554180 2721.443240 2938.125229 3160.169775 3404.614227
2025-02-16 1817.096015 2089.428252 2376.898105 2701.806395 3057.659108 3434.419234 3862.320798
2025-02-23 1639.793766 1966.306229 2320.891724 2732.198628 3193.764797 3693.407422 4272.770865
2025-03-02 1484.732072 1846.849887 2249.874092 2727.779899 3275.059449 3878.355828 4589.738241
2025-03-09 1385.829309 1779.739517 2227.526947 2768.529330 3398.645050 4103.748372 4946.611143
2025-03-16 1266.116961 1678.004326 2156.017694 2744.026820 3440.002306 4229.844732 5186.061833
2025-03-23 1207.820861 1644.308565 2159.817528 2803.548672 3575.656784 4462.024942 5546.169445
2025-03-30 1133.874780 1585.922352 2129.225033 2817.793717 3654.449319 4625.646835 5825.300060
2025-04-06 1062.050555 1525.344992 2091.719410 2819.831056 3715.505719 4766.162266 6075.975461
2025-04-13 958.176117 1417.813808 1990.495249 2738.377189 3670.828418 4777.085167 6169.910524
2025-04-20 938.019570 1417.514958 2022.945608 2822.255367 3828.070930 5030.608929 6554.813922
2025-04-27 903.610841 1396.062604 2026.560732 2868.402273 3937.829687 5226.523669 6871.048291
2025-05-04 848.801050 1345.246789 1991.058863 2864.433556 3985.802243 5349.005620 7101.752208
2025-05-11 790.829330 1287.140954 1943.507460 2842.842450 4010.093321 5441.679386 7296.265314
2025-05-18 757.681191 1261.728958 1937.779990 2874.390074 4101.091553 5616.714867 7592.454805
2025-05-25 713.743818 1218.554560 1906.023171 2869.805986 4144.318312 5731.310295 7813.685176
2025-06-01 689.472971 1202.429532 1910.076067 2912.074920 4247.814567 5921.803609 8130.234474
2025-06-08 643.861182 1152.482279 1865.247496 2886.659497 4261.407496 5997.519318 8302.574354
2025-06-15 629.887529 1149.031252 1884.849653 2948.395090 4389.664874 6219.672955 8660.351180
2025-06-22 601.872755 1122.744706 1870.910953 2963.167975 4455.085285 6361.246479 8916.629522
2025-06-29 571.709718 1091.573806 1848.644489 2965.280745 4502.808341 6479.677263 9143.655124
2025-07-06 518.151280 1020.750877 1766.251777 2880.799050 4431.697997 6442.205139 9169.808297
2025-07-13 516.232804 1032.534866 1805.176618 2967.794795 4593.695270 6709.624054 9589.352397